{"id":423,"date":"2023-10-13T20:53:52","date_gmt":"2023-10-13T20:53:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tradedesk.dk\/blog\/?p=423"},"modified":"2024-08-01T13:58:22","modified_gmt":"2024-08-01T13:58:22","slug":"krig-i-israel-inflationen-overrasker-i-usa-mens-novo-opjusterer","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/tradedesk.dk\/blog\/krig-i-israel-inflationen-overrasker-i-usa-mens-novo-opjusterer\/","title":{"rendered":"Krig i Israel, Inflationen overrasker i USA, mens Novo opjusterer"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Markedet har k\u00f8rt frem og tilbage i denne uge – men fik en grim skuffelse i torsdags, da den Amerikanske inflation var h\u00f8jere end forventet
<\/strong>
Olie og energi er sammen med v\u00e5benproducenter noget af det, som har klaret sig bedst i denne uge.
Energi, Finans, kommunikation og defensive aktier er de st\u00e6rkeste sektorer lige nu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jeg har i nyhedsbrevet her, fundet 3 interessante nyheder til dig og afslutter med ugens korte nyheder positive \/ negative, samt opdaterede kursm\u00e5l.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83d\udcc8 USA’s Inflation Overg\u00e5r Forventningerne i September
<\/strong>Den seneste rapport om forbrugerprisindekset (CPI) i USA viser en stigning p\u00e5 3,7% p\u00e5 \u00e5rsbasis i september, hvilket er h\u00f8jere end de forventede 3,6%. M\u00e5nedsvis steg CPI med 0,4%, ogs\u00e5 over forventningerne.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Denne overraskende stigning i inflationen kan have flere konsekvenser for investorer. For det f\u00f8rste kan det komplicere Federal Reserves beslutninger om rentesatser. En h\u00f8j inflation kan f\u00f8re til en stramning af pengepolitikken, hvilket igen kan p\u00e5virke aktiemarkedet negativt. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

For det andet kan virksomheder med h\u00f8je driftsomkostninger blive p\u00e5virket, da inflationen kan f\u00f8re til h\u00f8jere priser p\u00e5 r\u00e5varer. Dette kan is\u00e6r v\u00e6re relevant for virksomheder inden for energi, f\u00f8devarer og produktion. For det tredje kan inflationen ogs\u00e5 p\u00e5virke forbrugeradf\u00e6rden, hvilket kan have en indirekte effekt p\u00e5 virksomhedernes indtjening.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

For investorer kan det v\u00e6re en god id\u00e9 at overveje at diversificere deres portef\u00f8lje for at beskytte sig mod inflationens virkninger. Investering i aktier fra sektorer, der traditionelt er mindre f\u00f8lsomme over for inflation, s\u00e5som medicinal og defensive forbrugsvarer, kan v\u00e6re en strategi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kilde:
https:\/\/www.investing.com\/news\/economic-indicators\/us-inflation-faster-than-forecast-in-september-3196900<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83d\udcc8 Novo Nordisk Opjusterer (S\u00e5dan!)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hvad laver virksomheden?
<\/strong>Novo Nordisk burde ikke beh\u00f8ve en pr\u00e6sentation. Men virksomheden er en global medicinalvirksomhed med fokus p\u00e5 diabetes- og fedmebehandling. Deres prim\u00e6re produkter inkluderer insulin og GLP-1-analoger som Ozempic og Wegovy. Kunderne er prim\u00e6rt sundhedsv\u00e6senet og patienter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Resum\u00e9:
<\/strong>Novo Nordisk har netop opjusteret sine forventninger til 2023. Salgsv\u00e6ksten forventes nu at ligge mellem 32-38%, op fra tidligere 27-33%. Driftsoverskuddet (EBIT) forventes nu at v\u00e6re mellem 40-46%, op fra tidligere 31-37%. Opjusteringen skyldes h\u00f8jere forventninger til salgsvolumen af Ozempic i USA.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Analyse:
<\/strong>Denne opjustering er et positivt signal for investorer, b\u00e5de p\u00e5 kort og lang sigt. Det viser, at Novo Nordisk fortsat er i stand til at levere st\u00e6rke resultater, is\u00e6r i det amerikanske marked. EBIT (Earnings Before Interest and Taxes) er en vigtig indikator for virksomhedens rentabilitet, og en opjustering her er et klart positivt tegn. For investorer kan dette v\u00e6re et godt tidspunkt at overveje at \u00f8ge sin position i Novo Nordisk.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hvad kan vi l\u00e6re af det?
<\/strong>K\u00f8b virksomheder der klarer sig godt. Novo har l\u00e6nge v\u00e6ret p\u00e5 vores momentumliste, som er det bedste tekniske bud p\u00e5 de aktier, som vil udvikle sig positivt. Momentum er stigende aktiekurs og den afh\u00e6nger selvf\u00f8lgelig af gode resultater og positive forventninger.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83e\udd14 Lars Tvede og den Forsinkede Nye Fond<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Atlas Global Macro (den nuv\u00e6rende fond) har lidt voldsomme tab, men Lars har en ny fond under opsejling, der skulle v\u00e6re en kopi af den oprindelig fond, men uden russiske aktier.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Atlas Global Macro har tabt 44% af sin v\u00e6rdi siden starten og har givet negativt afkast i syv ud af ni kvartaler.
Lars Tvede har forklaret, at \u00e5bningen af hans nye fond er forsinket p\u00e5 grund af en overflytning fra Credit Suisse til UBS.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Denne forsinkelse og de tidligere tab kan give anledning til bekymring blandt potentielle investorer. Det er vigtigt at v\u00e6re opm\u00e6rksom p\u00e5, at forsinkelser i s\u00e5danne initiativer kan v\u00e6re et r\u00f8dt flag, der kr\u00e6ver yderligere unders\u00f8gelse. Desuden kan de tidligere tab og det negative afkast indikere en h\u00f8jere risikoprofil for fonden. (russiske aktier blev en dyr forn\u00f8jelse)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

For investorer kan dette v\u00e6re et signal om at holde sig v\u00e6k. Dette er ogs\u00e5 et klart eksempel p\u00e5, at hverken en kendt investorer, eller det at investerer i en fond, kan garantere det \u00f8nskede afkast, uanset hvor godt markedsf\u00f8ringsmaterialet lyder.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00bbJeg fortryder selvsagt de investeringer, der gav tab og synes, at jeg skulle have lavet meget mere af de gode. S\u00e5dan er det altid. Men mere strukturelt fortryder jeg, at vi valgte at rapportere afkast per uge, hvilket jeg tror, at nogen opfattede som om, vi er en slags daytraders; ikke value-investors, der s\u00f8ger de mange\u00e5rige trends, selvom vi egentlig havde kommunikeret det ret st\u00e6rkt,\u00ab<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kilde:
https:\/\/www.euroinvestor.dk\/nyheder\/lars-tvede-saetter-ord-paa-tidsplan-for-aabning-af-ny-fond<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jeg har samlet resten af ugens vigtigste nyheder – positive og negative med kursm\u00e5l og anbefalinger fra diverse finanshuse her:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83d\udcc8 Positive Nyheder \ud83d\udcc8<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83d\udcc8 Kursm\u00e5l Opjusteret
Novo Nordisk: Kursm\u00e5let er l\u00f8ftet hos SEB til 795 kr. fra 772,50 kr. Anbefalingen er fortsat “k\u00f8b”. \ud83c\udf1f<\/p>\n\n\n\n


Pandora: Kursm\u00e5let er l\u00f8ftet til 791 kr. fra 700 kr. af JPMorgan, og ABG forh\u00f8jer det til 900 kr. fra 800 kr. Begge anbefaler stadig “k\u00f8b”. \ud83d\udc8e<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83d\udcc8 K\u00f8bsanbefalinger
Novozymes & Chr. Hansen: DNB l\u00f8fter anbefalingen fra “hold” til “k\u00f8b”. Kursm\u00e5lene fastholdes p\u00e5 350 kr. og 536 kr. \ud83c\udf3f<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83d\udcc8 Andre Positive Nyheder
Aarsleff: Vundet milliardkontrakt p\u00e5 Lynetteholm. Kontrakten er p\u00e5 over 2 mia kr. \ud83c\udfd7<\/p>\n\n\n\n


Carlsberg: Planl\u00e6gger at investere yderligere 30 mio. euro i produktionen i franske Kronenbourg. \ud83c\udf7b
Fynske Bank: Opjusterer forventningerne til 2023. \ud83c\udfe6<\/p>\n\n\n\n


Novo Nordisk: Har indstillet et nyrestudie med Semaglutid som viser positive men stadig tidlige data. \ud83d\udc8a<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83d\udcc9Negative Nyheder \ud83d\udcc9<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83d\udcc9 Kursm\u00e5l Nedjusteret
M\u00e6rsk: Deutsche Bank har s\u00e6nket anbefalingen til “s\u00e6lg” og sk\u00e5ret kursm\u00e5let til 10.900 kr. \u2693
\u00d8rsted: Kursm\u00e5let er sk\u00e5ret hos Morningstar til 600 kr. fra 670 kr. \ud83c\udf2a
Topdanmark: ABG har s\u00e6nket kursm\u00e5let til 290 kr. fra 319 kr. \ud83d\udee1
Unibrew: Kursm\u00e5let er s\u00e6nket hos Citigroup til 575 kr. fra 625 kr. \ud83c\udf7a
Vestas: Kursm\u00e5let er s\u00e6nket til 150 kr. fra 157 kr. af Morgan Stanley. \ud83c\udf2c<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83d\udcc9 Salgsanbefalinger
Vestas: Sparbank 1 indleder d\u00e6kning med anbefalingen “s\u00e6lg” og et kursm\u00e5l p\u00e5 110 kr. \ud83c\udf2c<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83d\udcc9 Andre Negative Nyheder
Jyske Bank: Skift i ledelsen kan signalere en usikker strategisk retning for banken. \ud83d\udd04<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hvis du er tvivl, omkring hvilke aktier du b\u00f8r have, s\u00e5 kig p\u00e5 momentum listen og brug vores lyn-analyser.
https:\/\/tradedesk.dk\/member\/reports\/momentumscore<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tak for nu og hav en dejlig weekend.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

De bedste aktiehilser fra,
Troels.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Markedet har k\u00f8rt frem og tilbage i denne uge – men fik en grim skuffelse […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":365,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[47,1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-423","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-aktie-analyse","category-news"],"yoast_head":"\nKrig i Israel, Inflationen overrasker i USA, mens Novo opjusterer — TradeDesk<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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Jeg har en cand.merc. i innovation og management, og jeg har mange \u00e5rs erfaring inden for aktiehandel og investering. Med min akademiske baggrund har jeg opbygget en solid forst\u00e5else af markedsdynamikker og specialiseret mig i teknisk analyse og evidensbaserede strategier. Min karriere begyndte som portef\u00f8ljemanager hos Markedskraft, hvor jeg arbejdede med trading og prismodellering af elpriser. Denne erfaring t\u00e6ndte min interesse for teknisk analyse, is\u00e6r n\u00e5r det g\u00e6lder aktiemarkedet, hvor jeg har stor viden om candlestick diagrammer. 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