{"id":2746,"date":"2025-01-26T09:11:25","date_gmt":"2025-01-26T09:11:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tradedesk.dk\/blog\/?p=2746"},"modified":"2025-05-06T07:19:46","modified_gmt":"2025-05-06T07:19:46","slug":"uge-4-trump-vil-presse-renten-ned-og-laver-egen-krypto-valuta","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/tradedesk.dk\/blog\/uge-4-trump-vil-presse-renten-ned-og-laver-egen-krypto-valuta\/","title":{"rendered":"Uge 4: Trump vil presse renten ned og laver egen krypto valuta"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Kommunikation, Tech og Industri var denne uges vinder sektorer.
Renten kommer ikke ned og derfor ser det stadig godt ud for bankerne.
Energi fik en over n\u00e6sen, efter Trump erkl\u00e6rede national energikrise og “drill-baby-drill.”<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I denne uge ser vi p\u00e5 3 nyheder, som satte sit pr\u00e6g p\u00e5 uge 4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trumps pres i Davos: Renten skal ned, oliepriserne skal s\u00e6nkes<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

I sin virtuelle tale ved World Economic Forum i Davos opfordrede tidligere pr\u00e6sident Donald Trump den amerikanske centralbank (Fed) til straks at s\u00e6nke renten. Han h\u00e6vder, at lavere oliepriser, som han vil presse OPEC til at levere, b\u00f8r f\u00f8re til lavere renter b\u00e5de i USA og globalt. Samtidig gentog han sin st\u00f8tte til omfattende toldsatser som en strategi for at beskytte amerikansk produktion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Analyse:
Trumps pres p\u00e5 Fed er ikke ny, men det kommer p\u00e5 et kritisk tidspunkt, hvor inflationen stadig ligger over centralbankens m\u00e5l p\u00e5 2 %. Fed har signaleret en forsigtig tilgang med kun \u00e9n mulig rentes\u00e6nkning i 2025. Hvis Trump presser oliepriserne ned gennem diplomati med OPEC, kunne det potentielt lette inflationspresset p\u00e5 kort sigt (men OPEC er nok ikke s\u00e5 nemme at forhandle med). Men sp\u00f8rgsm\u00e5let er, om oliepriser alene kan v\u00e6re nok til at begrunde renteneds\u00e6ttelser (ikke hvis de kun ser p\u00e5 kerneinflationen).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hans forslag om massive toldsatser p\u00e5 op til 100 % p\u00e5 kinesiske varer og 25 % p\u00e5 Mexico og Canada kan derimod f\u00e5 inflationen til at stige yderligere. Det kan skabe endnu en udfordring for Fed, som risikerer at balancere mellem at h\u00e5ndtere en lavere v\u00e6kst og stigende priser.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hvad betyder det for investorer?
Investorer b\u00f8r holde \u00f8je med Feds rentem\u00f8de onsdag, hvor eventuelle reaktioner p\u00e5 Trumps kommentarer kan give indikationer om retningen for pengepolitikken. Samtidig er olieprisen v\u00e6rd at f\u00f8lge t\u00e6t, da Trumps pres p\u00e5 OPEC kunne skabe st\u00f8rre volatilitet i markedet. Sektorer som energi og r\u00e5varer kan blive p\u00e5virket, mens Trumps toldplaner potentielt kan ramme detail- og teknologiaktier, der er afh\u00e6ngige af globale forsyningsk\u00e6der.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

https:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/story\/trump-at-davos-says-hell-demand-that-interest-rates-drop-its-a-fresh-jab-at-the-fed<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83d\udc8a Novo Nordisk-aktien stiger efter lovende resultater fra fedmestudie<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Kort fortalt:
Novo Nordisk har annonceret lovende fase 1b\/2a-data for l\u00e6gemiddelkandidaten Amycretin. Med en v\u00e6gtreduktion p\u00e5 op til 22 % hos overv\u00e6gtige patienter stiger Novo Nordisks aktie med 12 % i K\u00f8benhavn, selvom aktien stadig ligger lavere end f\u00f8r de skuffende resultater med CagriSema i december.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Analyse:
Amycretin kombinerer GLP-1- og amylin-receptoraktivitet, hvilket styrker dets potentiale som et effektivt v\u00e6gttabsmiddel. Resultaterne er s\u00e6rligt interessante, da Amycretin testes b\u00e5de som injektion og i en fremtidig oral version. Dette kan skabe nye muligheder p\u00e5 markedet, hvor eftersp\u00f8rgslen p\u00e5 praktiske og effektive v\u00e6gttabsl\u00f8sninger forts\u00e6tter med at stige.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dog er der udfordringer: Studiet viser resultater under optimale forhold, hvor alle patienter fuldf\u00f8rte det fulde doseringsprogram uden afbrydelser. Novo Nordisk n\u00e6vner ikke, hvor mange deltagere, der reelt faldt fra. Det kan indikere potentielle udfordringer med tolerabilitet eller bivirkninger.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Markedets st\u00e6rke reaktion viser optimisme, men Amycretin er stadig langt fra at n\u00e5 markedet, og risici forbundet med fase 3 og regulatorisk godkendelse kan ikke undervurderes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hvad betyder det for investorer?
Novo Nordisks evne til at diversificere sin pipeline og finde en mulig efterf\u00f8lger til Wegovy og Ozempic kan sikre langsigtet v\u00e6kst. Dog b\u00f8r investorer v\u00e6re opm\u00e6rksomme p\u00e5 konkurrence fra virksomheder som Eli Lilly, der ogs\u00e5 udvikler st\u00e6rke v\u00e6gttabsprodukter. Novo Nordisk er en god virksomhed, men har haft store problemer med at holde momentum i \u00e5r. Dette kan v\u00e6re en mulig vending i aktien, som indtil da var meget oversolgt, men det er ikke til at sige endnu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

https:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/story\/ozempic-makers-stock-surges-a-trial-of-a-new-novo-nordisk-drug-shows-promise-5399869a<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud83d\udcb8 $TRUMP-krypto: Mere hype end substans?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Det er sv\u00e6rt at tage Donald Trumps meme coin, $TRUMP, helt seri\u00f8st. P\u00e5 overfladen ser det ud til at v\u00e6re endnu et fors\u00f8g p\u00e5 at udnytte hans brand og den hype, som omgiver b\u00e5de ham og kryptovaluta generelt. Med en markedsv\u00e6rdi p\u00e5 hele 6,6 milliarder dollars virker det imponerende \u2013 men n\u00e5r man dykker lidt dybere, falder illusionen hurtigt fra hinanden.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hvor er den reelle v\u00e6rdi?
<\/strong>$TRUMP har ingen praktisk anvendelse udover at fungere som en spekulativ investering. Det er ikke en coin, der revolutionerer blockchain-teknologi eller tilbyder nogen reel innovation inden for decentraliseret finans (DeFi). Tv\u00e6rtimod er det en klassisk meme coin, som baserer sin eksistens p\u00e5 hype \u2013 og med tokens, der i stor stil ejes af Trump selv. 80 % af de samlede tokens er l\u00e5st i tre \u00e5r, hvilket reelt g\u00f8r det sv\u00e6rt at vide, hvad v\u00e6rdien egentlig er, n\u00e5r de frigives p\u00e5 markedet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Et v\u00e6rkt\u00f8j til hurtige gevinster?
<\/strong>Man kunne n\u00e6sten fristes til at kalde $TRUMP en pengemaskine for Trump selv. Hvis prisen holder sig h\u00f8j nok i de kommende \u00e5r, vil det give ham mulighed for at s\u00e6lge sine tokens og score store gevinster, mens almindelige investorer b\u00e6rer risikoen for et kursfald. Vi har allerede set dette ske: $TRUMP faldt n\u00e6sten 50 %, da $Melania blev lanceret \u2013 et klart eksempel p\u00e5, hvor flygtig denne type investeringer kan v\u00e6re.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Det er selvf\u00f8lgelig legitimt at udvikle en meme coin \u2013 det har Dogecoin og Shiba Inu vist. Men hvor de blev til ud fra et f\u00e6llesskab og en vis humor, virker $TRUMP mere som et kynisk fors\u00f8g p\u00e5 at kapitalisere p\u00e5 kryptotrenden. Der mangler gennemsigtighed, og det er uklart, hvad investorerne egentlig f\u00e5r ud af at eje disse tokens.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Konklusion
<\/strong>Meme coins som $TRUMP kan v\u00e6re sjove, men de er ikke andet end en spekulativ boble. Hvis du overvejer at investere, skal du g\u00f8re det med samme mentalitet som et bes\u00f8g i kasinoet \u2013 kun invest\u00e9r, hvad du er villig til at tabe. Sp\u00f8rgsm\u00e5let er, om det virkelig handler om at skabe v\u00e6rdi for investorer eller blot fylde Trumps lommer endnu mere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kilde:
https:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/story\/trumps-7-billion-meme-coin-hasnt-made-him-richer-forbes-and-bloomberg-say-1ce638dd<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tak for nu.
De bedste aktiehilsner,
Troels.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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